Why Because they have no liquidity problem000 and construction 104000 are be sparedThe question of the departments was otherwise more delicateHow out of this impasse Steelworkers demonize the futures market4 billion aid promised by the IMF in OctoberThey had been established on the basis of growth between 0There is a natural cooperation between usBut they approach maturity in dispersed order44 billion euros the history not stutters so far6 billion on 17 February in addition to the already insured 17It is a statistic while both satisfactory and disturbing that the Direction of studies of the ministries of health and Social Affairs (DREES) should publish at the beginning of week: while unemployment sharply increased last year ( 11.4 enrolled in employment pole), the number of beneficiaries of the minimum integration income (RMI) decreased by 3 in 2008, 1,121 million end of December, either recipient 34,000 less than a year earlier. The economic crisis is therefore not yet resulted an influx of people at the wickets of the family allowance funds, which manage the RMI, and this despite the temporary jump in the number of beneficiaries which had been observed in September ( 10,000).
But the rally will not last. In 2007, the pace of decline had reached 8 (about 100,000 beneficiaries under), after a decline of 1 in 2006. Now, the numbers begin stabilization was no longer declining by 0.5 in the fourth quarter 2008 in connection with the strong degradation of the labour market.
Tangible sign of the difficulties ahead: the number of new recipients who have received a full rollup of the RMI and activity income (profit for the continuation of employment device) has fallen to 30,000 in the last three months of 2008, in fall of 30 over the same period of 2007. This means that the times of jobs are scarce. The number of openings of the RMI, slightly increasing rights, risk it to accelerate significantly in 2009.
Some delay
The evolution of the RMI indeed follows traditionally that of the market to work with some delay. The rise of unemployment in 2001 was translated by a rebound in the number of numbers from the second quarter of 2002. Several factors have raised fears the Government that the period be shortened this time: the rise in unemployment is much more brutal, and many applicants of jobs (CDD, interim) have acquired low rights to compensation. They are therefore likely to switch quickly to the RMI (read below).
Another is notable: the crisis occurs when the number of allocataires de minima sociaux is already very high. The RMI staff grew to approximately 200,000 between 2002 and 2006, until peaking at 1.27 million, before back to approximately 150,000 between 2006 and 2008. The number of job seekers had, him, much more reduced during the years of moderate growth (2005-2007).
A new service, the RSA
It is in the maintenance of the number of beneficiaries of the RMI to levels which led the Government to initiate the reform of the income of active solidarity (RSA), which will enter into force on July 1. In addition to the current beneficiaries of the RMI (which will affect the "core" RSA), many "poor workers" will permanently combine this new social benefit with their salary.
A role of damper
Recession will nevertheless change the deal. While the RSA should above all be an incentive for the continuation of employment, it should especially role this year a damper for the employees of which the number of hours worked decreased: some of them will become eligible for the RSA, which will thus support their purchasing power.
Another initial objective of the reform will be very difficult to reach: while less than half of the numbers enrolled in pole employment and therefore enjoy support, the Government wished to strongly identify this proportion, to develop the insertion of the device pane. Internal tension pole job, that sentence to make to the influx of unemployed (read below), bode of a difficult implementation.
